Progression from different blood glucose states to cardiovascular diseases: a prospective study based on multi-state model.

AIMS: To quantify the trajectories from normoglycaemia to pre-diabetes, subsequently to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and cardiovascular death, and the effects of risk factors on the rates of transition. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data from the Jinchang Cohort of 42 585 adults aged 20-88 free of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke at baseline. A multistate model was applied for analysing the progression of CVD and its relation to various risk factors. During a median follow-up of 7 years, 7498 participants developed pre-diabetes, 2307 developed T2DM, 2499 developed CVD, and 324 died from CVD. Among 15 postulated transitions, transition from comorbid CHD and stroke to cardiovascular death had the highest rate (157.21/1000 person-years), followed by transition from stroke alone to cardiovascular death (69.31/1000 person-years) and transition from pre-diabetes to normoglycaemia (46.51/1000 person-years). Pre-diabetes had a sojourn time of 6.77 years, and controlling weight, blood lipids, blood pressure, and uric acid within normal limits may promote reversion to normoglycaemia. Among transitions to CHD alone and stroke alone, transition from T2DM had the highest rate (12.21/1000 and 12.16/1000 person-years), followed by transition from pre-diabetes (6.81/1000 and 4.93/1000 person-years) and normoglycaemia (3.28/1000 and 2.39/1000 person-years). Age and hypertension were associated with an accelerated rate for most transitions. Overweight/obesity, smoking, dyslipidaemia, and hyperuricaemia played crucial but different roles in transitions. CONCLUSION: Pre-diabetes was the optimal intervention stage in the disease trajectory. The derived transition rates, sojourn time, and influence factors could provide scientific support for the primary prevention of both T2DM and CVD.

Former single-outcome studies on the relationship between glycaemia and cardiovascular disease (CVD) may ignore the complexity and multi-transformations across the multiple stages from normoglycaemia to CVD in real-world setting. We aimed to quantify the trajectories from normoglycaemia to pre-diabetes, subsequently to type 2 diabetes, CVD, and cardiovascular death. Pre-diabetes was the optimal intervention stage in the disease trajectory. Transitions from CVD to death had much higher rates than other transitions. Age and hypertension were associated with an accelerated rate for most transitions. Overweight/obesity, smoking, dyslipidaemia, and hyperuricaemia played crucial but different roles in transitions.

Fasting plasma glucose and alanine aminotransferase on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: A nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with a variety of factors. However, the possible association between the abnormal metabolism of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and the risk of HCC has not been widely studied. We examined this relationship based on a prospective cohort study. METHODS: 162 first-attack HCC cases during three follow-up periods (2014-2020) were selected as the case group. A control group of 648 participants was obtained by 1:4 matching of age (± 2 years) and sex with noncancer participants in the same period. Conditional logistic regression models, restricted cubic spline models, additive interaction models, and generalized additive models were used to explore the effects of FPG and ALT on the risk of HCC. RESULTS: After correction for confounding factors, we found that abnormal FPG and elevated ALT increased the risk of HCC, respectively. Compared with the normal FPG group, the risk of HCC was significantly increased in the impaired fasting glucose (IFG) (OR = 1.91, 95 %CI: 1.04, 3.50) and diabetes groups (OR = 2.12, 95 %CI: 1.24, 3.63). Compared with the lowest quartile of ALT, subjects in the fourth quartile had an 84 % increased risk of HCC (OR = 1.84, 95 %CI: 1.05-3.21). Moreover, there was an interaction between FPG and ALT on the risk of HCC, and 74 % of the HCC risk could be attributed to their synergistic effect (AP = 0.74, 95 %CI: 0.56-0.92). CONCLUSION: Abnormal FPG and elevated ALT are independent risk factors for HCC, and they have a synergistic effect on the risk of HCC. Therefore, serum FPG and ALT levels should be monitored to prevent the development of HCC.

Association between metabolic syndrome and the risk of colorectal cancer: a prospective study in China.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the correlation between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components on the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) based on data from Jinchang Cohort. METHODS: This is a large prospective cohort study. Between 2011 and 2020, a total of 43 516 individuals from Jinchang Cohort were included for this study. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CRC according to MetS were calculated with the Cox proportional hazard models. The restricted cubic spine models with four knots were conducted to fit the dose-response relationships. RESULTS: MetS was associated with increased risk of CRC (n = 141; HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.15-2.33) after adjusting for confounding factors (age, sex, education level, family history of CRC, smoking index and alcohol index). Participants with hyperglycemia had a significantly higher risk of developing incident CRC (HR: 1.70; 95% CI: 1.19-2.43). The positive association between MetS and CRC was observed in males (HR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.17-2.63), but not in females (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 0.59-2.64). Furthermore, linear dose-response relationship was found between fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and CRC risk in males (Poverall < 0.05, Pnon-linear = 0.35). When stratified by smoke and drink, MetS was found to increase the incidence of CRC only in the smoke (HR: 2.07, 95% CI: 1.35-3.18) and drink (HR: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.51-5.69) groups. CONCLUSION: MetS was associated with a higher risk of CRC incidence. Hyperglycemia lended strong support to the role of MetS in new-onset CRC, especially in males. Other components of MetS were not found to be associated with increased risk of CRC.

Optimal colonoscopy surveillance interval period for the adenoma patients who had an adequate polypectomy at baseline colonoscopy.

The role of surveillance colonoscopy has long been established: it reduces both the incidence and the mortality of colorectal cancer. We aimed to assess the optimal colonoscopy surveillance interval period for the adenoma patients who underwent an adequate polypectomy at baseline colonoscopy to avoid overuse or underuse of colonoscopy. A retrospective study was carried out on the baseline adenoma patients who had had at least two completed colonoscopy examinations during the years 2000-2013 in the Digestive Endoscopy Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University. All the patients had a complete polypectomy of adenomas at baseline. Data on the patients' demographics and colorectal findings were extracted from a specially designed colonoscopy database. The end point was the finding of adenoma during the subsequent surveillance colonoscopy; an analysis was carried out to identify recurrence factors and the optimal colonoscopy surveillance interval period. A total of 765 (463 men, 302 women, average age 56.51±11.95) eligible patients were included in the study. Three hundred and twelve patients had adenoma and 453 had no adenoma after surveillance colonoscopies (the frequency of repeat colonoscopy is 1-10, average 1.73±1.24). The diameter of adenomas found on the follow-up colonoscopy was 0.2-3.0 cm (average 0.54±0.30 cm). The number of adenomas was 1-11 (2.21±1.53) and the surveillance adenoma interval period was 0.5-13 years (2.64±2.36 years). A total of 576 patients had baseline nonadvanced adenomas. Male sex, age older than 50 years, and more than two different intestine segment adenomas were the risk factors for recurrence. The optimal colonoscopy surveillance interval period is 2.85 years (95% confidence interval: 2.53-3.17) according to the recurrence rate of 5% adenomas. One hundred and eighty-nine patients had baseline advanced adenomas. Male sex, diameter of adenomas less than 1.0 cm, and adenomas in the right colon or the whole colon were the risk factors for recurrence. The optimal colonoscopy surveillance interval period is 2.06 years (95% confidence interval: 1.71-2.45) according to the recurrence rate of 5% adenomas. The optimal colonoscopy surveillance interval period is 3 years or so for the adenoma patients who had an adequate polypectomy at baseline colonoscopy. Male sex, age older than 50 years, less than 1.0 cm adenomas diameter and the right colon, or multisegment intestine adenomas were the risk factors for recurrence. This has significance for guiding the follow-up colonoscopy interval time of the patients with intestine adenomas.

Risk factors for colorectal neoplasms based on colonoscopy and pathological diagnoses of Chinese citizens: a multicenter, case-control study.

PURPOSE: Since observational data in the urban residents are required to better assess the risk factors of colorectal neoplasm occurrence and the effectiveness of colonoscopy screening and surveillance, we conducted a case-control study at multicenters in China to identify patient characteristics and neoplasm features of colorectal adenoma (CRA) and colorectal carcinoma (CRC). METHODS: A total of 4089 patients who had undergone a colonoscopy from 19 hospitals were enrolled, of which 1106 had CRA and 466 had CRC. They were compared with controls. The analysis provides features and risk factors of colorectal neoplasm using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Increasing age, a family history of colorectal cancer or previous cases of colorectal adenoma or hypertension disease, gastrointestinal surgery, regular intake of pickled food (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.42, 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.048-1.924), consumption of alcohol, and a positive result of fecal occult blood testing (FOBT; aOR 2.509, 95 % CI 1.485-4.237) were associated with an increased risk of CRA. In the CRC group, increasing age, regular intake of pickled foods, and a positive FOBT result were risk factors. In addition, a positive abdominal computed tomography (CT) before a colonoscopy and physical signs of emaciation were also significantly associated with an increasing risk of colorectal carcinoma. Regular intake of vegetables decreased the risk of both CRA and CRC. CONCLUSIONS: Age, pickled foods, and a positive FOBT are risk factors for colorectal neoplasm. Vegetable intake was associated with a decreased risk of CRA and CRC.

Heterotopic gastric mucosa in the upper and middle esophagus: 126 cases of gastroscope and clinical characteristics.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: In this retrospective study, we aimed to investigate the prevalence of heterotopic gastric mucosa (HGM) in the upper and middle esophagus, to identify its macroscopic characteristics and evaluate clinical features. METHODOLOGY: One hundred and twenty-six patients (82 males, 44 females; mean age 43.08 ± 12.84 years, range 15-81) with HGM in the upper and middle esophagus diagnosed by gastroscopy and biopsies were admitted to this retrospective study. Disease histories of all patients were carefully inquired, especially the associated complaints including discomfort of throat, heartburn or dysphagia, etc. RESULTS: The prevalence was 0.21%. Patch size ranged between 5-20mm, mean diameter was 7.5 ± 3.7mm; 80 cases appeared as a single patch; 96.83% had the patch in the upper esophagus. Male gender was predominant (male:female ratio, 1.86), but age was not significant. The mean distance from the incisors to the patch was 18.83 ± 2.23cm and 17.20 ± 2.48cm in the male and the female respectively, with a significant difference (t=3.749, p<0.001). In 39 of 126 patients (26 male, 13 female), the esophageal and laryngopharyngeal symptoms were remarkable. Twelve were associated with other diseases of the esophagus. There were no correlations to esophageal symptom, gender, age, location, quantity or diameter. Among the 126 cases, 29 patients were associated with other esophageal diseases. CONCLUSIONS: HGM patches in the esophagus should not be overlooked during endoscopy because they may lead to esophageal symptoms and even important complications in relation to their acid secretions.